Boom, Bust, or Meh: March 2015

Hey, guys! Welcome to the monthly “Boom, Bust, or Meh.” Here we will be taking a look at five different movies coming out in March, and predict how each of these movies will fare over the month. Every movie will either receive a score of “Boom” (Good), “Bust” (Bad), or “Meh” (Average).

Each month, I will be joined by my co-writers: Wesley Wood, Rob Butler, and Joshua Hale.

Enjoy! And let us know how you think each movie will fare in the comments below.

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The Results

In this section for “Boom, Bust, or Meh,” we show the results of the previous month’s films.

Let’s take a look at February’s movies.

1. Jupiter Ascending – BUST!

Worldwide Box Office – $115 million (0.65x budget)                                                                                                                     Average Rating – 5.5

With equally upsetting box office totals and ratings, this sci-fi flick is a huge BUST!

2. Seventh Son – BUST!

Worldwide Box Office – $99 million (1.04x budget)                                                                                                                        Average Rating – 5.0

Not even the star power of Bridges and Moore could save this film–which isn’t all that surprising.

3. Kingsman: The Secret Service  BOOM!                                                                

Worldwide Box Office – $157 million (1.93x budget)                                                                                                                        Average Rating – 7.8

None of the numbers are overly exceptional, but this is a solid BOOM!

4.  Hot Tub Time Machine 2 – BUST!

Worldwide Box Office – $7 million (0.50x budget)                                                                                                                        Average Rating – 4.3

February is turning out to be a disaster for movie releases.

5. Focus – DELAYED

Worldwide Box Office – ?                                                                                                                                                            Average Rating – ?

This movie came out too late in the month to give an accurate rating, so it will be listed on the April BBoM article.

Bonus

6. Project Almanac – BOOM!

Worldwide Box Office – $26 million (2.16x budget)                                                                                                                           Average Rating – 6.5

A low budget saved this film from mediocrity.

That was how each movie fared in the month of February. Each “Boom, Bust, or Meh” article includes each writers’ current prediction record beside their name. (And just in case you were wondering, I’m 13-11.)

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Chappie – March 6

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Neil Blomkamp is one of my favorite directors of all time. He set a large expectation for his future films after the immense success of District 9 (one of my favorite movies). He followed up that success with the Matt-Damon-led Elysium. Let’s look at those films now.

District 9

Worldwide Box Office – $210 Million (7.00x budget)                       Average Rating – 7.8

Elysium

Worldwide Box Office – $286 Million (2.48x budget)                       Average Rating – 6.6

While not quite as successful as his first film, Elysium did score more money in the box office. Chappie feels very similar to Blomkamp’s other films, especially in how it focuses on the interaction between two distinctly different groups. District 9 had humans living with “Prawns,” Elysium had the rich and the poor, and now Chappie brings forth a coexistence of robots and humans.

The Prediction:

BOOM – Chappie should be another fantastic installment in Blomkamp’s already impressive film portfolio, and I will be seeing this one in the theater!

 

What Others Think

Wesley Wood (14-10) – BOOM

I’m giving this a BOOM instead of a Meh for a couple of reasons. The director, Neil Blomkamp, has directed two previous sci-fi movies (District 9 and Elysium) and both were exceptional. Based off of his track record, and the fact that the trailers for those films did nothing for me either, I can expect Chappie to be better than what the previews suggest.

Rob Butler (8-16) – Meh

I’ve seen trailers of this film for months. Not once have I been impressed.

Joshua Hale (4-5) – BOOM

With genre-favorite director Neil Blomkamp at the helm, Chappie will please both audiences and critics alike thanks to top-notch special effects. The only potential downside is that the film isn’t tied to any previous work (original films tend not to fare as well at the box office).

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Run All Night – March 13

MV5BMTU2ODI3ODEyOV5BMl5BanBnXkFtZTgwMTM3NTQzNDE@._V1_SX214_AL_Liam Neeson is back, and (get this) he’s killing a lot of bad guys. In his ever-type-casted role, Neeson continues to show up in the box office. Neeson’s recent movies have been pretty much the same thing; high box office totals and mediocre ratings. His most successful film is Schindler’s List. The multiple Oscar winning film has made over $320 million and is ranked 7th on IMDb’s Top 250.  Taken 3, his latest film, did remarkably well. It raked in over $200 million. That success probably won’t transfer over to this action flick, because Taken 3 was part of a movie trilogy.

That being said, I really do like any time Ed Harris jumps into a villainous role. With movies like The Rock and Enemy at the Gates, his lengthy film career firmly cemented him into villain royalty.

The film’s director, Jaume Collet-Serra, has worked with Liam Neeson on multiple occasions. He first worked with Neeson in Unknown in 2011, and then again in 2014 with Non-Stop. This makes me believe that studios like the connection between Liam and Juame. And that inspires some confidence for me (however insignificant).

The Prediction:

BUST – I’d like to think this action-packed film will do well, but I’m doubtful it can run for long.

 

 

 

What Others Think

Wesley Wood (14-10) – Meh

This feels like just another Liam Neeson action movie that has him essentially playing his character from Taken. Critics will probably find it okay and audiences will see it.

Rob Butler (8-16) – Meh

Another Taken movie? Seriously?

Joshua Hale (4-5) – Meh

Despite a strong supporting cast, Run All Night will most likely fall victim to average returns at the box office thanks to it being another Liam Neeson action vehicle.

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Cinderella – March 13

MV5BMjMxODYyODEzN15BMl5BanBnXkFtZTgwMDk4OTU0MzE@._V1_SX214_AL_Cinderella is another film in the recent movement of adapting Disney animated movies into live-action remakes. A few of the latest adaptations are Into the Woods and Mirror Mirror. But how well did they fare?

Into the Woods (2014)

Worldwide Box Office – $172 Million (3.44x budget)                       Average Rating – 6.3

Into the Woods did very well at the box office, luring in over $172 million (3.44x budget). As far as ratings, the film was not nearly as successful. The star-studded film only recorded an average rating of 6.3. While the rating was unimpressive, the film is still a success.

Mirror Mirror (2012)

Worldwide Box Office – $183 Million (2.15x budget)                       Average Rating – 5.6

Mirror Mirror fared worse than Into the Woods. It recorded a fair box office total, but its ratings were lackluster at best.

The Prediction:

BOOM – Disney’s pinnacle story should have mediocre ratings, but will also be the #1 movie in its theatrical release.

 

What Others Think

Wesley Wood (14-10) – Meh

All of these Disney movies that are live action versions of their popular animated films seem… lacking. From Mirror, Mirror, to Oz: The Great and Powerful, to Maleficent, and even Into The Woods. (Which, by the way, Into The Woods is also about Cinderella and came out a few months ago. Guess who produced that film? Walt Disney Pictures. Who is producing this film? Walt Disney Pictures. Seems like overkill.) Anyway, the trailer is dull as I am sure the film will be also. Audiences will herd like sheep to go see it based on the name and who is making it.

Rob Butler (8-16) – BOOM

The fact that this is getting such a good looking reboot encourages me for other Disney fairy tales.

Joshua Hale (4-5) – BOOM

There’s no denying that Disney’s latest live-action reboot will draw in the crowds, young and old, even though the trailer reveals too many key scenes similar to the beloved animated classic.

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The Gunman – March 20

MV5BMjE2MzE5ODY5MF5BMl5BanBnXkFtZTgwNTI0NjM1NDE@._V1_SX214_AL_Sean Penn. Idris Elba. Javier Bardem. Ray Winstone. This film is filled with award winning actors. I am a huge fan of all of them—especially Idris Elba. His portrayal of DCI John Luther in BBC’s Luther was phenomenal. On top of that, Sean Penn acting as a gun-toting protagonist is really refreshing since I haven’t seen him as a dramatic actor often (I can’t even think of I Am Sam without tearing up).

As far as direction goes, the film’s director is Pierre Morel. He is the same director that led us on a heroic journey in Taken. I don’t need to tell anyone what kind of success that little franchise achieved. But that’s not the extent of Morel’s action film portfolio. He has worked for years in action cinema including being cinematographer of Jason Statham’s The Transporter and The Transporter 2.

The film is based on the novel The Prone Gunman. That might make you think it would bring in a book following, but I’m doubtful that its following will make this film a large amount of money. The biggest film adaptations that destroy the box office typically fall in the fantasy genre. Well that…or a mystery-riddled plot. While I’ve never read the book, it doesn’t appear that The Gunman meets any of the above criteria.

The Prediction:

BUST – I think the direction and acting in this movie will drive at least decent ratings, but I doubt it will make a profit in the theater.

 

 

 

What Others Think

Wesley Wood (14-10) – BUST

Dull name, dull premise, dull actor for an action film, just simply dull. This film reeks of no inspiration and I will look forward to it bombing.

Rob Butler (8-16) – BOOM

Compared to Run All Night this actually looks decent. My only question… does anybody even care about Taken-style films at this point?

Joshua Hale (4-5) – BUST

With a good cast, The Gunman will still have a hard time shaking off the reputation of its lead, Sean Penn. He’s been less than favorable at the box office in recent years—did anyone fall in love with Gangster Squad? (Hint: if you have to search for the film to find out, you already know the answer.)

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Home – March 27

Home-Teaser-One-SheetDreamworks has a well-received history of animated films. And with such films as Madagascar and Kung Fu Panda, it’s easy to see why. Their films are usually pelted with A-list celebrities voicing every role from the plot-advancing protagonist to the smallest two-second cameo. What’s not to love, right? Well, how are these films doing now? Let’s look at some of their most recent Dreamwork’s films.

Mr. Peabody & Sherman

Worldwide Box Office – $272 Million (1.87x budget)                        Average Rating – 6.9

How to Train Your Dragon 2

Worldwide Box Office – $618 Million (4.26x budget)                        Average Rating – 8.1

Nearly $900 million between two films? That should prove that their films still attract a crowd. And while Mr. Peabody & Sherman didn’t have a fantastic set of ratings, it is still a more than acceptable number. How to Train Your Dragon 2 was not only a highly rated movie, but it was also one of the top grossing films of 2014.

The Prediction:

BOOM – Dreamworks will surely find itself at home on the big screen.

 

What Others Think

Wesley Wood (14-10) – BOOM

Jim Parsons was a perfect match to do a voice over here. I don’t think the film has anything new to bring to the table, which does not matter much when it is a kids movie. I predict critics will like it and audiences will take their kids to it as well.

Rob Butler (8-16) – BOOM

Jim Parsons as a loveable little space alien? I love it!

Joshua Hale (4-5) – Meh

Even with the great reputation of Dreamworks Animation, Home will more than likely draw many parents seeking to entertain their children, but not much beyond that. Animated films in space typically don’t fare well either. Remember Planet 51? No? Mars Needs Moms? No? Space Chimps? No? Escape From Planet Earth? You get my point.

Well that’s it for our predictions for the month of March! How do you think each movie will fare? Let us know your predictions in the comments section below!

Michael Kirksey Jr

3 Comments

  1. Wesley Wood on March 2, 2015 at 11:07 pm

    Still in first place! Rob needs to step up his game 😉

  2. Maurice Pogue on March 1, 2015 at 6:10 pm

    The February edition of GUG’s Boom, Bust, or Meh excluded 50 Shades for obvious reasons, but it is disingenuous to say that February is any more disastrous than a month where a comic book movie was not released. All three of 50 Shades scheduled movies will make money hand-over-fist.

    • Michael Kirksey Jr on March 1, 2015 at 8:45 pm

      Hey Maurice,

      I understand the issue you have with the phrasing I used, but here are a couple things to consider:

      1. 50 Shades of Grey is targeted at a very specific audience. That audience is only a small portion of the movie-goers in any given month. And because of that, it would have only a small effect on the other February movies since most have a distinctly different audience.

      2. Our BBoM articles don’t focus solely on box office totals. We also factor in critic and audience ratings. The ratings are generally unaffected by box office hits like 50 Shades, and the movies of February were low rated overall. Even 50 Shades was a Bust in that regard. It has an average rating of 4.3/10 , which is disastrous.

      So with ratings and box office in mind, I hope this clears things up.

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