Boom, Bust, or Meh: November 2014

Hey, guys! Welcome to the monthly “Boom, Bust, or Meh.” Here we will be taking a look at five different movies coming out in November, and predict how each of these movies will fare over the month. Every movie will either receive a score of “Boom” (Good), “Bust” (Bad), or “Meh” (Average).

Each month, I will be joined by co-writers: Erik Daniel, Wesley Wood, Rob Butler, and the guest writer of the month. This month we’ve got the brilliant Steve Schoen!

Enjoy! And let us know how you think each movie will fare in the comments below.

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The Results

This is a new section for “Boom, Bust, or Meh.” Here we show the results of the previous month’s films.

Let’s take a look at October’s movies.

1. Gone Girl – BOOM!

Worldwide Box Office – $254 million (4.16x budget)                                                                                                                 Average Rating – 8.4

This one has demolished the box office, and it’s posting high ratings across the board.

2. Left Behind – BUST!                                                                                                                                                    

Worldwide Box Office – $13 million (0.81x budget)                                                                                                                 Average Rating – 3.2

Although most negative reviews have been from non-Christian critics (it seems to be fairly well-liked by Christians), this movie is very much a box office bust. It is worth noting, however, that the movie’s creator has given the go-ahead on a sequel.

3. Alexander and the Terrible, Horrible, No Good, Very Bad Day  Meh…                                                                

Worldwide Box Office – $58 million (2.07x budget)                                                                                                                 Average Rating – 6.4

This film is the epitome of a “Meh” score. It is receiving mediocre ratings, but it produced decent numbers in the box office.

4. Dracula UntoldMeh…                                                                                                                                               

Worldwide Box Office – $167 million (2.38x budget)                                                                                                               Average Rating – 5.9

Dracula Untold could almost be a “BOOM,” but unfortunately it’s plagued by below average ratings.

5. Fury – Meh…

Worldwide Box Office – $66 million (0.97x budget)                                                                                                                 Average Rating – 7

Fury was easily the hardest film to score. It took the number one spot in its opening weekend, but then saw a significant drop the following weekend. That being said, if its numbers stay consistent for the next few weeks, this movie could work its way up to a “BOOM.”

Well, that was how each movie fared in the month of October. Now included in each “Boom, Bust, or Meh” article will be each writers’ current prediction record beside their name. (And just in case you were wondering, I’m 2-3.)

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 Interstellar – November 7

interstellarInterstellar is set to be one of biggest movies of the year. It’s been greatly anticipated since its first trailer was released nearly a year ago, and for good reason.

The film is helmed by Christopher Nolan, arguably one of the best directors of our time. His movies have received very high scores throughout his career. With movies like Inception and The Dark Knight, his films have generated an incredible amount of money at the box office.

Now let’s look at the film’s leading man, Matthew McConaughey. His recent movies have been incredibly successful, receiving high scores across the board, and have brought in solid numbers at the box office. Plus, McConaughey is coming off the critical success of the hit show True Detective. This show (along with The Wolf of Wall Street) has revitalized his once declining career, and will certainly be a factor in this film’s success.

The film finds its leading lady in Rio’s Anne Hathaway. Her movies have typically received average to high scores, but she has definitely found outstanding success in the box office with her hit films Les Miserables and The Dark Knight Rises.

The Prediction:

BOOM – This film can easily fall into the top movies of 2014, behind Guardians of the Galaxy.

What Others Think

Erik Daniel (0-5) – BOOM

Christopher Nolan is at the top of his game, and gets better with each movie he releases. With its ensemble cast and outer space setting, it will be big at the box office.

Wesley Wood (2-3) – BOOM

From what I can gather, the film is about finding a way to save the human race. Earth’s best hope is Matthew McConaughey and Anne Hathaway with short hair. The premise looks interesting, and I am sure it will be a hit at the box office. My only concern is that despite the great idea on paper, the film will be more about special effects than story. I fear it will be another forgettable film like Dracula Untold. Do you remember Dracula Untold? Me neither. But, it came out last month. Oh, and the critics will love Interstellar.

Rob Butler (1-4) – Meh

In the age of big budget outer space films, Gravity reigns supreme. I’m not completely sure Interstellar can dethrone it. It’s not at the top of my list of films to see this month, but I do have high hopes for it.

Steve Schoen – BOOM

Matthew McConaughey is riding the momentum of his big Oscar win last year for Dallas Buyers Club. His newest flick is expected to make big bucks, and I believe it will do just that. Despite sharing its opening weekend with Big Hero 6, it will do well, drawing in sci-fi buffs and everyday, childless movie-goers.

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 Big Hero 6 – November 7

Disney_BigHero6_Poster_BaymaxCan an animated Superhero movie built with a cast of rather unknown actors succeed? Let’s look at all of the factors. First and foremost, Big Hero 6 is a Disney movie. Just having that name on an animated film means it will be a huge hit at the box office. Not only a Disney movie, but one that is directed by Don Hall (Tarzan, Meet the Robinsons) and Chris Williams (Bolt). Together, they have many years of experience in animated movies, and their top films have garnered decently high ratings.

The movie comes at an opportune time for Hollywood, too. Right now, the world is enthralled by super hero movies. The Avengers and all of its encompassing films have paved the way for Baymax and company. Everyone is waiting for the next adventures of Tony Stark’s band of misfits, and Big Hero 6 might give the audience a chance to scratch that itch.

Baymax is voiced by Scott Adsit, 30 Rock‘s Pete Hornberger. While a still relatively unknown actor, Adsit’s vocals seem spot-on as the silly companion bot. Also joining the cast: Alan Tudyk (Firefly), James Cromwell (The Green Mile), and Maya Rudolph (Saturday Night Live). While this group isn’t exactly the A-Team of popularity, there is no doubt they’ll provide some serious acting chops.

The Prediction:

BOOM – With the Disney tag attached, Big Hero 6 will BOOM its way to Asgard and back.

What Others Think

Erik Daniel (0-5) – Meh

I do not think that Big Hero 6 will do well critically, but since families tend to flock to animated films, it will boom at the box office.

Wesley Wood (2-3) – BOOM

Big Hero 6 is a Disney film, and is computer animated. Do you really need to know anything else? The film is guaranteed to be solid, and to make good money at the box office. The story doesn’t seem to be anything special (which is a shame after Wreck-It Ralph), but the characters will be great as usual. I won’t see it, but it will be loved by audiences and critics alike.

Rob Butler (1-4) – BOOM

Very rarely does Disney ever disappoint (Chicken Little, 2005). Coming off a huge success of Frozen, Disney should be poised for a big return on investment with Big Hero 6.

Steve Schoen – BOOM

Rarely does Disney misstep in taking its animated features to the theaters. After the success of Frozen (the billion-dollar-grossing giant dethroned the 20-year champion, The Lion King), Disney execs will surely deliver another hit. Families will turn out in large numbers to see it, and sci-fi fans will be split between this and Interstellar.

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Foxcatcher – November 14

foxcatcher-movie-posterThis movie has assembled a fantastic cast. Steve Carell (The Office) headlines this true story, in one of the few serious roles in his career. Carell has already shown us his solid acting abilities in movies like Little Miss Sunshine, but he hasn’t really been able to test them in a serious role.

Foxcatcher also stars Channing Tatum as Olympic wrestler Mark Schultz. Tatum is in high demand right now, and his flicks are receiving decent ratings. With the success of movies like 22 Jump Street and The Lego Movie, Tatum has had a busy year—five movies in 2014. And there’s a reason he’s in such high demand: people love him. Earlier this year, his movie 22 Jump Street raked in over $328 million. While I don’t believe Foxcatcher will bring in nearly that amount, it is safe to assume his presence will boost box office numbers.

The film’s director, Bennett Miller has had great success in his top releases. Moneyball, while not a gigantic box office smash, has flourished in ratings. His other big film, Capote, was a little more successful in the box office, and was equally successful in ratings.

The Prediction:

Meh – Foxcatcher should do well in ratings, but might not be a big box office hit.

 

What Others Think

Erik Daniel (0-5) – Meh

Foxcatcher is going to be a masterpiece; reviews will show it, but I don’t think it will be a box office smash. I could also see both Steve Carell and Channing Tatum getting awards for this movie.

Wesley Wood (2-3) – Meh

Critics already love this movie, so my job is a tad easier. But to be honest it looks dull, and no amount of serious-acting Steve Carell in make-up can change that. The trailer tells you nothing, which is always a bad marketing idea. Audiences won’t see it, and this will be another film that will be forgotten shortly after its release.

Rob Butler (1-4) – Meh

Boasting high honors from the Cannes festival, Foxcatcher has a real chance at being a great film. However, if the trailer is any indication of the film’s pacing, Foxcatcher could fall flat on its face in the mainstream box office. Meh, but a reluctant one.

Steve Schoen  – BUST

“Steve Carell fails to capitalize on the popularity of Channing Tatum as he desperately tries to convince disappointed viewers that he isn’t just a comedic actor in recent box office flop.”

– Steven E. Schoen, Jr.

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Dumb and Dumber To – November 14

Dumb-and-DUmber-to-movie-poster1-930x1441Oh My Gosh! It’s finally back!

That is exactly how so many fans of the original are feeling right now, and that is exactly why this movie will be huge in the box office. Dumber and Dumber To is nostalgic in the extreme—taking us back to a time when “stupid comedies” were a normal part of society. One of the biggest upsides to this movie is that the original cast is back, and ready to reprise their dim-witted roles. Jim Carrey’s movies have been bombing in recent years, but perhaps he’ll finally find success with the true Dumb and Dumber sequel.

The Farrelly brothers are the kings of this genre, having created tons of big name comedies (Me, Myself & Irene, Shallow Hal, Fever Pitch). Almost all of them have gotten low ratings, and none have been as big as the original Dumb and Dumber. Rest assured, this movie will likely be driven by your nostalgia, but critics will see right through it.

The Prediction:

Meh – This sequel will easily generate some quick box office numbers on nostalgia alone, but the ratings should follow the Farrelly brothers’ trend.

 

 

 

 

What Others Think

Erik Daniel (0-5) – Meh

Critically, this is going to flop big time, but thanks to the constant laughs of Dumb and Dumber, I could easily see it doing great at the box office.

Wesley Wood (2-3) – Meh

I am looking forward to the true sequel to Dumb and Dumber. As long as the trailer has not ruined all of the good parts, audiences will love this film as well. Critics will of course hate it. Heck, the original Dumb and Dumber only has 64% on Rotten Tomatoes. With a $35 million budget, this film looks to easily double that.

Rob Butler (1-4) – BOOM

As far as sequels go, Dumb and Dumber was always a fan favorite. This new installment has the opportunity to appease previous fans, and gain a new generation of viewers. With a small budget, this film can easily recover its investment.

Steve Schoen – Meh

In addition to numerous other films opening the same week (not the least of which will be Saving Christmas) most people will be too far removed from the original to care about its sequel 20 years later—even if it does star Jim Carrey. There are definitely much better movies to see this month. Dumb and Dumber To will draw fans of the original cult classic, but little more.

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The Hunger Games: Mockingjay – Part 1 – November 14

jennifer-lawrence-katniss-everdeen Mockingjay is, by far, the easiest prediction on this list. Thanks, in part, to the incredible success of the previous films in The Hunger Games series. This movie will follow the box office path of the first two films. Let’s look at how those movies fared:

The Hunger Games                                                                                Worldwide Box Office: $691 million (8.85x Budget)                                    Average Rating Score – 7.5

The Hunger Games: Catching Fire                                                            Worldwide Box Office – $864 million (6.65x Budget)                                    Average Rating Score – 7.9

Both of these films were incredibly successful, even cracking the top 100 most successful movies of all time. This series will likely only get bigger as the next few movies launch.

The Prediction:

BOOM – This movie will likely be bigger than its predecessors, and may even give Guardians of the Galaxy a run for its money.

 

 

What Others Think

Erik Daniel (0-5) – BOOM

The Hunger Games is a huge franchise, and Jennifer Lawrence is one of the most talked about people in the world right now. It is going to boom critically, and is going to be a money maker at the box office, hands down.

Wesley Wood (2-3) – BOOM

After The Hunger Games stepped up their game with Catching Fire, it is hard to believe that Mockingjay Part 1 will not kill at the box office. The critics may give it mixed reviews, but audiences will love it. The budget for both parts of Mockingjay is $250 million. For these films not double their budgets would be truly shocking.

Rob Butler (1-4) – BOOM

Boom. Can we all just agree? Jennifer Lawrence is amazing, and judging from the previous films in this series there is almost no way this film can fail. This new wave of “Part 1, Part 2” films is getting a bit ridiculous, but it sells, and the studios know it.

Steve Schoen  – BOOM

The Hunger Games series has been hot for several years now, and Jennifer Lawrence has been all over the news in recent months. The first two movies raked in big bucks at the box office, and I don’t expect this one to be any different. This movie has nothing to fear from the other films being released the same weekend.

Well that’s it for our predictions for the month of November! How do you think each movie will fare? Let us know your predictions in the comments section below!

Michael Kirksey Jr

2 Comments

  1. Cooper D Barham on November 1, 2014 at 8:47 pm

    I intend to see most if not all of these movies, despite the fact that I hardly ever go to the theater. Interstellar especially is a must for me. The others I could wait on, if necessary.

  2. Wesley Wood on November 1, 2014 at 10:34 am

    I am tied for first with a 2-3 record!

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